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Linking and Delinking Aspects of Economic Growth and Employment in the Indian Economy: Granger Causality Approach

Received: 21 October 2023     Accepted: 6 November 2023     Published: 2 April 2024
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Abstract

The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of various economic growth and employment approaches that have been popular throughout economic history, with a focus on linking and delinking aspects of GDP and employment in the Indian economy. The semi-log quadratic model was used for the trends of GDP and employment across the selected countries. For the determination of the linkages between the variables, the Granger causality test promulgated by Engel and Granger (1987), and the maximum likelihood-based technique of Johansen and Julius (1990) and Johansen (1992) were used in the study. The results found that employment and GDP are two different aspects of an economy not only in the Indian economy but across the majority of the world economies. The results of model specification proved the presence of both long-run and short-run relationships between GDP and employment by the Johansen co-integration test in the Indian economy over the period. It has been found that the increase in GDP is negatively influencing the employment level by the VECM model as a 1 per cent increase in GDP results in 0.28 per cent of job losses in the Indian economy. This study aims to provide an overview of several approaches to economic growth and employment that have been popular throughout economic history up to the present, with an emphasis on linking and delinking aspects of economic growth and employment. In the context of an economy, economic growth and employment are two distinct aspects that should be tackled with separate economic strategies.

Published in International Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization (Volume 12, Issue 1)
DOI 10.11648/j.ijebo.20241201.12
Page(s) 25-33
Creative Commons

This is an Open Access article, distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution 4.0 International License (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/), which permits unrestricted use, distribution and reproduction in any medium or format, provided the original work is properly cited.

Copyright

Copyright © The Author(s), 2024. Published by Science Publishing Group

Keywords

Economic Growth, Employment, Johansen Co-integrating Test, Granger Causality Test, Indian Economy, Post-Reform Period

References
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[2] Sankaran, U., Abraham, V., & Joseph, K. J. (2010). Impact of Trade Liberalisation on Employment: The Experience of India's Manufacturing Industries. The Indian Journal of Labour Economics, 587-601. Retrieved from
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[4] Papola, T. (2012). Structural Changes in the Indian Economy: Emerging Patterns and Implications. Institute for Studies in Industry Development, 1-29. Retrieved from
[5] Padder, A. H. (2018). Changing Pattern of Economic Development and Employment in India: An Interstate Analysis. Social Science and Humanities International, 1-29. Retrieved from
[6] Nagaraj, R. (2020). TIF-Understanding India’s Economic Slowdown.
[7] Padder, A. H., & Mathavan, B. (2021). The Relationship between Unemployment and Economic Growth in India: Granger Causality Approach. NVEO-NATURAL VOLATILES & ESSENTIAL OILS Journal| NVEO, 8(4), 1265-71. Retrieved from
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[19] Kannan, K. P., & Raveendran, G. (2019). From Jobless to Job-loss Growth, Gainers and Losers During 2012-18. Economic and Political Weekly, 54(44), 38-44. Retrieved from
[20] Roy, S. (2016). Faltering Manufacturing Growth and Employment: Is 'Making' the Answer? Economic and Political Weekly, 51(13), 35-42. Retrieved from
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[22] Hu, A. (2004). Economic Growth and Employment Growth in China (1978–2001). Asian Economic Papers, 3(2), 166–176.
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  • APA Style

    Padder, A. H. (2024). Linking and Delinking Aspects of Economic Growth and Employment in the Indian Economy: Granger Causality Approach. International Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization, 12(1), 25-33. https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijebo.20241201.12

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    ACS Style

    Padder, A. H. Linking and Delinking Aspects of Economic Growth and Employment in the Indian Economy: Granger Causality Approach. Int. J. Econ. Behav. Organ. 2024, 12(1), 25-33. doi: 10.11648/j.ijebo.20241201.12

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    AMA Style

    Padder AH. Linking and Delinking Aspects of Economic Growth and Employment in the Indian Economy: Granger Causality Approach. Int J Econ Behav Organ. 2024;12(1):25-33. doi: 10.11648/j.ijebo.20241201.12

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  • @article{10.11648/j.ijebo.20241201.12,
      author = {Altaf Hussain Padder},
      title = {Linking and Delinking Aspects of Economic Growth and Employment in the Indian Economy: Granger Causality Approach
    },
      journal = {International Journal of Economic Behavior and Organization},
      volume = {12},
      number = {1},
      pages = {25-33},
      doi = {10.11648/j.ijebo.20241201.12},
      url = {https://doi.org/10.11648/j.ijebo.20241201.12},
      eprint = {https://article.sciencepublishinggroup.com/pdf/10.11648.j.ijebo.20241201.12},
      abstract = {The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of various economic growth and employment approaches that have been popular throughout economic history, with a focus on linking and delinking aspects of GDP and employment in the Indian economy. The semi-log quadratic model was used for the trends of GDP and employment across the selected countries. For the determination of the linkages between the variables, the Granger causality test promulgated by Engel and Granger (1987), and the maximum likelihood-based technique of Johansen and Julius (1990) and Johansen (1992) were used in the study. The results found that employment and GDP are two different aspects of an economy not only in the Indian economy but across the majority of the world economies. The results of model specification proved the presence of both long-run and short-run relationships between GDP and employment by the Johansen co-integration test in the Indian economy over the period. It has been found that the increase in GDP is negatively influencing the employment level by the VECM model as a 1 per cent increase in GDP results in 0.28 per cent of job losses in the Indian economy. This study aims to provide an overview of several approaches to economic growth and employment that have been popular throughout economic history up to the present, with an emphasis on linking and delinking aspects of economic growth and employment. In the context of an economy, economic growth and employment are two distinct aspects that should be tackled with separate economic strategies.
    },
     year = {2024}
    }
    

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    AB  - The purpose of this paper is to provide an overview of various economic growth and employment approaches that have been popular throughout economic history, with a focus on linking and delinking aspects of GDP and employment in the Indian economy. The semi-log quadratic model was used for the trends of GDP and employment across the selected countries. For the determination of the linkages between the variables, the Granger causality test promulgated by Engel and Granger (1987), and the maximum likelihood-based technique of Johansen and Julius (1990) and Johansen (1992) were used in the study. The results found that employment and GDP are two different aspects of an economy not only in the Indian economy but across the majority of the world economies. The results of model specification proved the presence of both long-run and short-run relationships between GDP and employment by the Johansen co-integration test in the Indian economy over the period. It has been found that the increase in GDP is negatively influencing the employment level by the VECM model as a 1 per cent increase in GDP results in 0.28 per cent of job losses in the Indian economy. This study aims to provide an overview of several approaches to economic growth and employment that have been popular throughout economic history up to the present, with an emphasis on linking and delinking aspects of economic growth and employment. In the context of an economy, economic growth and employment are two distinct aspects that should be tackled with separate economic strategies.
    
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